5/14/2013: US shale energy creates global oil 'supply shock'; South African Anti-Fracking Activist Calls for Global Alliance
US shale energy creates global oil 'supply shock' – “US shale oil will help meet most of the world's new oil needs in the next five years, even if demand rises from a pick-up in the global economy, said the agency in its five-year outlook for the oil market. The "steeper than expected" rise in supply from North America constitutes a "game changer", said Maria van der Hoeven, IEA executive director, as she contrasted it with stalling oil production in some traditional export markets such as Iran. "North America has set off a supply shock that is sending ripples throughout the world," she said…"A mature economy which some 150 years ago had been the cradle of the oil industry, but had since faced what seemed like an irreversible production decline, [has] all of a sudden found itself at the centre of a new oil boom," the IEA said…On the back of shale output, the IEA said it expected North American supply to grow by 3.9 million barrels per day (mbd) from 2012 to 2018, or nearly two-thirds of total forecast non-OPEC supply growth of 6.0 mbd. But North America was "just one part of the story" the IEA said, as production capacity in traditional OPEC suppliers in the Middle East will continue to grow in the next five years, "though adversely affected by growing insecurity in North and Sub-Saharan Africa" in the wake of the Arab Spring uprisings. OPEC capacity, which counts for 35pc of today's global oil output, is expected to gain 1.75 mbd to 36.75 mbd in 2018, about 750,000 barrels per day less than under a 2012 forecast. The IEA, an OECD offshoot that tracks the energy market for the world's industrialised nations, meanwhile raised marginally its earlier outlook for global oil demand growth in 2013 to 90.6 mbd. The forecast for non-OPEC supply in 2013 meanwhile was raised 50,000 to 54.5 mbd due to strong output in North America.”” (Telegraph UK)
Blairsville-area company finds 2nd calling in shale gas service industry – “Business has surged at Twin Pines Manufacturing Corp. near Blairsville since it got in on the ground floor of the region's natural gas boom five years ago. “We were specializing in plastic and rubber molding equipment for the auto industry. But things slowed down” during the recession, said CEO Bob Kovalchik. “Then we got a few orders from gas companies. I dug into it, and now it's our biggest thing — 80 percent of our business is from gas and oil.” Twin Pines is a standout among companies that changed their products and services to pursue opportunities in the shale gas industry. Hundreds of companies in the region are pursuing that business, experts say…“They hear the stories — all the wells that are going to be drilled; about their neighbors who've had significant sales — and they want to know, ‘How can I break in?' ” said Connie Palucka, managing director of business growth services at Catalyst Connection. Since last summer, Catalyst Connection has held six, one-day workshops for such companies — with another scheduled for next week — that have been attended by about 170 people from more than 70 companies. The workshops cost $95 and are underwritten by the Richard King Mellon Foundation. “It helps owners develop an action plan, and coaches them on new product development,” Palucka said. “It's a 24/7 business with no patience for mistakes. When they break in, they have to do it in a smart way.”” (Tribune Review)
12 reasons the American energy boom is overrated – “The fossil fuel industry is booming, and has a lot more room to run, thanks to incredible technological progress in oil and gas production from shale rock. In theory, this should create jobs, lower energy costs, and bring manufacturing capacity back to the U.S. By some accounts, the economy is cleaning up on this. But analysts now say that while there are real gains to be had, we should be a bit more realistic about their extent. In his new book “The Power Surge,” Council on Foreign Relations expert Michael Levi says that while it’s undeniable the oil and gas boom has created jobs and wealth, it’s overall impact on GDP will probably be muted. “People who claim that natural gas will spark a broad-based U.S. economic renaissance, if only pesky environmentalists lay off, are exaggerating the benefits of the shale gas bonanza,” he writes. He’s not alone — we recently told you about the note from Capital Economics’ Paul Dales, who says, “The boom in domestic energy production is responsible for only a small part of the rise in GDP since the recession and it does not explain why the US has outperformed most of its closest competitors.”.. According to Deutsche Bank’s Peter Hopper writes: “While US manufacturing will surely benefit from rising global labor costs and lower energy prices, the relatively low energy intensity of a number of manufacturing industries suggests that the shale energy revolution may have a more muted impact on the overall US economy.”” (Financial Post)
South African Anti-Fracking Activist Calls for Global Alliance – ““We’ve got to stop doing this,” said Jonathan Deal, with a sense of urgency tinged with discomfort. Deal could well have been talking about hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, the oil and gas drilling practice he has tirelessly fought to stop in his native South Africa. But at this moment, he was talking about the energy-guzzling extravaganza in full swing all around us at a gathering in Washington, DC. As we eyed hundreds of people in cocktail attire partaking of bounteous food and wine across a chandeliered room, I sensed Deal’s inner discord: this lavish event was in honor of him. Deal had just been awarded a Goldman Environmental Prize for his successful grassroots effort to win a moratorium on fracking in South Africa. And on this mid-April spring night at the Ronald Reagan Building near the National Mall, a magnificent reception followed a ceremony to honor and applaud Deal’s success, along with that of the five other remarkable 2013 prize winners. While Deal accepted his award with humility and grace, and was deeply grateful for the spotlight it shined on his work, he was making an important point. Unless we rein in our energy consumption, his fight will have been for naught. And it must start with each of us, here and now, addressing the discord between what we know and what we do…Deal formed the Treasure the Karoo Action Group (TKAG) and led a team of scientists, legal experts, and volunteers in preparing a report on the risks of fracking in the Karoo. TKAG delivered the report, which called for a moratorium on fracking, to President Jacob Zuma. Deal also challenged Shell executives to debate the merits of fracking at public meetings and in the media…While in the United States, Deal worked to start building the alliances he feels are necessary to stop the global march of fracking. In addition to visiting communities across the country, he is strengthening ties with Americans Against Fracking, a coalition of some 270 disparate organizations, including 350.org, Breast Cancer Action, Food and Water Watch, and New Yorkers Against Fracking. Meanwhile, back in his native South Africa, Deal’s own organization will get a significant boost from his Goldman recognition: Deal is giving his $150,000 in prize money to TKAG to strengthen the fight to save the Karoo.”” (National Geographic)



